Exploring the Nifty Pharma Index and The Drivers of Growth and Market Behaviour

Nifty Pharma Index, Growth Drivers, Market Behavior, ADF Test, Autocorrelation, GARCH Model, ARIMA Model, Pharmaceutical Sector, Market Volatility, Forecasting, Econometrics.

Authors

  • R. Pranchana Ph.D Research Scholar, Alagappa Institute of Management, Alagappa University, Karaikudi – 630003
  • Dr. S. Sudhamathi Associate Professor, Alagappa Institute of Management, Alagappa University, Karaikudi – 630003
July 21, 2025

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This study explores the Nifty Pharma Index, focusing on the key drivers of growth and market behavior within the pharmaceutical sector. The research leverages six years of daily market data to examine trends, volatility, and the factors influencing the market performance of the index. Through a combination of econometric techniques, including Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) tests, autocorrelation analysis, and GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) and ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) models, the paper provides a detailed understanding of the Nifty Pharma Index's dynamic market behavior. The findings offer valuable insights for investors, policymakers, and market analysts, highlighting the volatility patterns and forecasting future price movements in the pharmaceutical sector.